BC copper 2509 contract fluctuated downward then rebounded, macro concerns led to narrowing of SHFE copper price spread [SMM BC Copper Commentary]

Published: Aug 20, 2025 17:10

Today, the most-traded BC copper 2509 contract opened at 69,860 yuan/mt and closed lower. During the night session, BC copper opened and moved lower, fluctuating downward after peaking at 69,870 yuan/mt as bears entered the market. After the day session opened, the center of copper prices gradually fell to an intraday low of 69,570 yuan/mt. Near the end of the session, the center of copper prices gradually rebounded, closing at 69,720 yuan/mt, down 250 yuan/mt, a decline of 0.36%. Open interest reached 4,022 lots, up 73 lots from the previous trading day, and trading volume reached 2,826 lots, up 1,195 lots from the previous trading day. On the macro side, the US added 407 types of steel and aluminum derivative products to the tariff list, and concerns over Treasury Secretary Besent's upcoming interview as a Fed Chairman candidate have raised market worries, jointly pressuring copper prices. The minutes of the US Fed's monetary policy meeting will be released at 2:00 AM tonight, revealing internal disagreements on interest rate cuts. Fundamentally, on the supply side, LME inventory increased by 1,200 mt to 156,350 mt. Domestic supplies were replenished during the day, with overall supply rising, and it is expected that domestic supplies will continue to be replenished tomorrow. On the demand side, the lower center of copper prices has boosted downstream purchasing sentiment.

 

The SHFE copper 2509 contract closed at 78,640 yuan/mt. If the BC copper 2509 contract is 69,720 yuan/mt, its post-tax price is 78,784 yuan/mt, resulting in a price difference of -144 between the SHFE copper 2509 contract and the BC copper 2509 contract, maintaining an inverted spread that narrowed slightly from the previous day.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Feb 6, 2026 23:56
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
Feb 6, 2026 23:56
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Feb 6, 2026 23:54
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
Feb 6, 2026 23:54
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Feb 6, 2026 23:47
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
Feb 6, 2026 23:47
BC copper 2509 contract fluctuated downward then rebounded, macro concerns led to narrowing of SHFE copper price spread [SMM BC Copper Commentary] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)